The Chinese regime’s recent activities in the vicinity of the Taiwan Strait have greatly increased and its internal activities signal that they are prepared for an attack on Taiwan.
On March 23, U.S. Adm. John Aquilino said during a hearing over his nomination to become commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) that the CCP could attack Taiwan much earlier than what most people expect.
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has been making final preparations against Taiwan over the past two years. Still, the timing and the intensity of the attack probably depend whether they believe the United States will fully support Taiwan.
Recently, Chinese fighter jets have frequently entered Taiwan’s southwest air defense identification zone, while China’s Liaoning aircraft carrier battle group entered the Miyako Strait between Okinawa and Japan’s mainland Miyako Island. This corresponds to the CCP’s plan of encirclement. If a war begins, the CCP will probably use the air force as its main force to control the Bashi Strait in southwestern Taiwan to block U.S. forces from the Indian Ocean and Singapore. The CCP will likely use the Liaoning carrier battle group to control Okinawa and to defend the mainland from Japan and the U.S. army.
On Feb. 10, Chinese leader Xi Jinping went to inspect the military base in Fujian, a province on the southeastern coast of China, less than 200 miles (321 kilometers) away from Taiwan. By plane, it would take only a little more than 30 minutes to get to Taiwan from Fujian.
Alexander Liao is a columnist and journalist in research on international affairs in the United States, China, and Southeast Asia. He has published a large number of reports, commentaries, and video programs in newspapers and Chinese financial magazines in the United States and Hong Kong.
Views expressed in this article are the opinions of the author